Investigation of spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in MOROCCO & estimated confinement duration to overcome the danger phase

Document Type: Research Paper


1 Laboratory of Organic Chemistry, Macromolecular and Natural Products (LCOMPNURAC25), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

2 Laboratory of Applied Analytical Chemistry, Materials and Environment (LCA2ME), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

3 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

4 Engineer from the National School of Mines of Rabat-MOROCCO



Purpose: The objective of this paper is to make an investigation of spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in MOROCCO and to estimate the duration of confinement for the fight against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID -19). Methods: Data available on the sites provided by the Moroccan Ministry of Health, nonlinear regression, Gaussian function, residual sum of squares and regression curve. Results: Moroccan citizens must stay at home as much as possible until June 12, 2020. Conclusion: Given the non-existence of a vaccine or an effective treatment against the coronavirus (COVID-19), our research team believes that confinement remains the best solution to limit the spread of this pandemic.


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