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<Article>
<Journal>
				<PublisherName>University of Guilan</PublisherName>
				<JournalTitle>Caspian Journal of Environmental Sciences</JournalTitle>
				<Issn>1735-3033</Issn>
				<Volume>18</Volume>
				<Issue>2</Issue>
				<PubDate PubStatus="epublish">
					<Year>2020</Year>
					<Month>04</Month>
					<Day>01</Day>
				</PubDate>
			</Journal>
<ArticleTitle>Investigation of spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in MOROCCO &amp; estimated confinement duration to overcome the danger phase</ArticleTitle>
<VernacularTitle></VernacularTitle>
			<FirstPage>149</FirstPage>
			<LastPage>156</LastPage>
			<ELocationID EIdType="pii">4070</ELocationID>
			
<ELocationID EIdType="doi">10.22124/cjes.2020.4070</ELocationID>
			
			<Language>EN</Language>
<AuthorList>
<Author>
					<FirstName>H.</FirstName>
					<LastName>Bendaif</LastName>
<Affiliation>Laboratory of Organic Chemistry, Macromolecular and Natural Products (LCOMPNURAC25), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco</Affiliation>

</Author>
<Author>
					<FirstName>B.</FirstName>
					<LastName>Hammouti</LastName>
<Affiliation>Laboratory of Applied Analytical Chemistry, Materials and Environment (LCA2ME), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco</Affiliation>

</Author>
<Author>
					<FirstName>I.</FirstName>
					<LastName>Stiane</LastName>
<Affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco</Affiliation>

</Author>
<Author>
					<FirstName>Y.</FirstName>
					<LastName>Bendaif</LastName>
<Affiliation>Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco</Affiliation>

</Author>
<Author>
					<FirstName>M.A.</FirstName>
					<LastName>El Ouadi</LastName>
<Affiliation>Engineer from the National School of Mines of Rabat-MOROCCO</Affiliation>

</Author>
<Author>
					<FirstName>Y.</FirstName>
					<LastName>El Ouadi</LastName>
<Affiliation>Laboratory of Applied Analytical Chemistry, Materials and Environment (LCA2ME), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco</Affiliation>

</Author>
</AuthorList>
				<PublicationType>Journal Article</PublicationType>
			<History>
				<PubDate PubStatus="received">
					<Year>2020</Year>
					<Month>06</Month>
					<Day>05</Day>
				</PubDate>
			</History>
		<Abstract>Purpose: The objective of this paper is to make an investigation of spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in MOROCCO and to estimate the duration of confinement for the fight against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID -19). Methods: Data available on the sites provided by the Moroccan Ministry of Health, nonlinear regression, Gaussian function, residual sum of squares and regression curve. Results: Moroccan citizens must stay at home as much as possible until June 12, 2020. Conclusion: Given the non-existence of a vaccine or an effective treatment against the coronavirus (COVID-19), our research team believes that confinement remains the best solution to limit the spread of this pandemic.</Abstract>
		<ObjectList>
			<Object Type="keyword">
			<Param Name="value">Pandemic</Param>
			</Object>
			<Object Type="keyword">
			<Param Name="value">COVID-19</Param>
			</Object>
			<Object Type="keyword">
			<Param Name="value">Investigation</Param>
			</Object>
			<Object Type="keyword">
			<Param Name="value">Confinement</Param>
			</Object>
		</ObjectList>
<ArchiveCopySource DocType="pdf">https://cjes.guilan.ac.ir/article_4070_a82ebe0e64e0f036b7e2e1f3c67e12f3.pdf</ArchiveCopySource>
</Article>
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